NC Governor: Pretty Much the Same

Bev Perdue 44
Pat McCrory 43
Michael Munger 6

For the second week in a row Bev Perdue is holding onto a small lead for Governor. She remains in place even as Kay Hagan and Barack Obama each gain four points compared to our previous survey.

Some of the problems she's having:

-Connecting with urban voters. While Obama has a 19 point lead and Hagan has a 15 point lead with those folks, Perdue's lead is just nine even though its party breakdown is 62% Democrats and 27% Republicans. A lot of that has to do with McCrory's standing in Charlotte but it's nevertheless somewhere she probably needs to improve.

-Democratic Men. Perdue is losing 21% of the votes of men within her party to McCrory. This is not being balanced by support for her from Republican women. Just 11% of them are planning to vote for her.

A problem he's having:

-Connecting with rural voters. McCrory has an 18 point lead with rural voters, but that's not near as good as the 32 and 23 point leads John McCain and Elizabeth Dole have with them respectively. There may not be a Charlotte curse but it's clear the urban Mayor is not doing as well with these folks as the other major candidates of his party.

Perdue's probably still the favorite in this race but she isn't getting much momentum.

Full results here.