Palin in Arizona

Ben Smith reports that if Sarah Palin runs for President next year she'll base her campaign in Arizona.

We found last month that voters in Arizona don't care for Palin. Her favorability there is just 39%, with 57% of voters holding a negative opinion of her. We found that she would start out trailing Barack Obama in the state by a 49/41 margin. That would make her only the second Republican to lose the state since 1948.

In addition to having poor numbers for the general election in Arizona, Palin also lags a good deal among Republican voters. Mitt Romney's in first place there with 23%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 19%. Palin can muster only a third place tie with Newt Gingrich at 15%.

Voters in Arizona do at least like Palin better than the ones back home in Alaska do. Her favorability there is a 33/58 spread and she gets an identical 15% in the primary, which places her 4th in that state behind the triumvirate of Romney, Huckabee, and Gingrich.

Of course if Palin was going to make her headquarters somewhere voters like her the options are limited- you're probably talking Boise or Cheyenne.