Here are some of the things we've been talking about on Twitter today:
-Gallup has its party id numbers for the first half of 2009 out and finds North Carolina at D+12, slightly up from D+11 for 2008. Most of our polls so far this year have found something pretty similar to that.
-The NRCC released a list of 70 seats it's targeting for next year. That's probably more than they could ever realistically hope to win, which makes it that much more telling that Heath Shuler is not on the list. Like his politics or not, he's done a remarkable job of making a seat that had been Republican held for the previous 16 years safe.
-The most important poll numbers we'll be releasing this week are the new ones on the Virginia Governor's race tomorrow, but the ones people seem to be most interested in are the numbers relevant to 'birthers' in Virginia. Here are some sneak peeks:
*Among Virginia Republicans 41% think Barack Obama was not born in the United States, 32% think he was, and 27% are not sure.
*Among supporters of Bob McDonnell 36% think Obama was not born in the US, 33% think he was, and 31% are not sure.
*Obama's approval rating with people who think he was not born in the US is 12%, which is not surprising but seriously, since when is it ok for us to just say we think politicians we don't like aren't US citizens? I will happily stand up and say I am sure George W. Bush is a citizen of our country!
*Even among African Americans 12% think Obama was not born in the country and 27% aren't sure, showing the extent to which this misinformation is getting out.
We'll have the full 'birther' numbers on Wednesday.
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