Sunday, August 16, 2009

Sunday Odds and Ends

-Former Lieutenant Governor Dennis Wicker is the latest to join the possible Democratic candidates for Senate parade. Wicker has one very big positive: he's raised far more money than any of the other candidates publicly eying the race. On the negative side he lost the primary he raised all that money for by a wide margin and hasn't been in the public eye for almost a decade. Overall, given that this race is probably going to determined #1) by Barack Obama's popularity and #2) by the extent to which Richard Burr can be painted as ineffective and excessively partisan, Wicker would be a perfectly competent nominee. I feel the same way about the other Dems looking at the race too.

-We're scheduled to poll New Jersey next weekend but we're going to do Arkansas instead. NJ is getting polled plenty and there's a lot of curiosity about the impact everything going on right now is having on Blanche Lincoln's situation.

-Here's a key number from the Charlotte poll we're releasing tomorrow: Anthony Foxx leads John Lassiter 59-30 with Democrats who approve of Pat McCrory's job performance. Those folks made McCrory's long tenure as the Republican mayor of a Democratic city possible, and could be the swing voters who determine the winner this fall.

-Here are some initial observations from our weekend polling:

*The Mountain West has birthers too: among our first 182 Colorado respondents 94 said they thought Barack Obama was born in the United States, 44 said they thought he wasn't, and 44 said they weren't sure.

*Is there a divide in the birther ranks? Our national poll so far finds them nearly evenly split on whether think Obama was born in Indonesia or Kenya.

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