State | Final Real Clear Politics Average | Actual tally | Closest Poll |
| Obama +12 | Obama +28 | Obama + 20 (PPP) |
| Obama +18 | Obama +29 | Obama +22 (Survey |
| Obama +18 | Obama +36 | Obama +22 (Strategic Vision) |
In all three cases Obama won by double digits more than the average preelection poll suggested, and no one got within seven points of the correct margin in any of the states.
Things are going much worse for Obama right now than they were when any of those three states voted but North Carolina is relatively similar demographically to them- a large black population, plenty of college educated liberals, etc. It will be interesting to see if Obama manages to outperform the polls in our corner of the South once again.
No comments:
Post a Comment