Going, Going.....Google

Two bits of follow up on previous posts about the health care IT space.

AthenaHealth absolutely hit one out of the park with its IPO.

Shares opened at $18 and nearly doubled, hitting $35.50. This could be a big win for its VC investors including Oak Investment Partners, Venrock Associates, Draper, Fisher Jurvetson and Cardinal Partners. All together the four owned 65% of the company prior to the opening. IN VIVO Blog talked about the importance of this IPO back in June.

Meanwhile, speculation abounds that Google, in a bid to bolster its presence on the Web, is eyeing an acquisition of health care Web site leader WebMD. Last month, IN VIVO Blog admitted to being slightly underwhelmed by the early glimpses of Google's health offerings.

Apparently, we're not the only ones. Dan Penny, director and lead analyst for publishing Outsell Inc., a market research firm focused on the publishing industry, writes:

Implications: The discovery in 2005 that 12% of individuals would consult Google before seeing a doctor has sent a message to the search giant that it should be doing something with health information, but it doesn't seem to know how to add value to an area where others have stolen a march. Google Health, as it stands, is a confusing experiment that offers little more than an old-fashioned portal for health information. Google now realises that it needs to do more than aggregate, because the boom in online health information has sent users flocking to WebMD and similar sites, such as AOL Health and RevolutionHealth. A year ago, the idea of Google acquiring WebMD would have seemed rather bizarre, but since the purchase of YouTube, Google has proven its willingness to spend, and to spend on content as well as technology. Moreover, its rival, Microsoft, bought Medstory earlier this year in a clear attempt to secure some of the healthcare vertical for itself.

Oh yeah, and Google's health care push probably wasn't helped by the fact the fellow in charge of the effort is leaving.

Now back to your regularly scheduled programming....

They MIGHT Be Giants

But can they change health care?

The New York Times reports yesterday that IT titans Microsoft and Google were set upon using their individual might to “improve the nation’s health care.”

Try as we might to be impressed by caliber of these indisputable pioneers, IN VIVO Blog is having a bit of troubling mustering anything more than a “ho hum.” Perhaps, if we try real hard, we might push it to, “We’ll believe it when we see it.”

See, we’ve been hearing (and writing about) about this IT revolution in health care for close to 10 years now. Back then Internet entrepreneurs—albeit with shoddy business plans and puddle-deep knowledge of health care—promised to bring the power of IT and the Internet to bear on the $1.3 trillion dollar health care system. The end result? Now many of those same entrepreneurs are promising to bring the power of IT and the Internet to bear on a $2 trillion-plus health care system.Yep, a 50% increase. How’s the might of IT doing so far?

So what’s different today? Well, to be fair, the Internet model is in a lot better shape than it was 10 years ago. Google, which continues to impress us (have you used the Street View feature on Google Maps? Amazing), wasn’t even around, and no one had quite figured out how to make money off the Internet yet. Today, Google’s model and services serve as a foundation for many of the start-ups in this area today. As for Microsoft, IN VIVO Blog won’t pretend we know much about the company other than we use Windows and Internet Explorer. But there’s little doubt the company hasn’t focused on health care up until now because it had much lower fruit to pick in other industries. Hospitals and doctors are notoriously bad customers for IT companies.

Perhaps that’s why both companies appear to be targeting the consumer… er…the patients. Question is can these companies capture some of the juice for a health-care consumer product? (It’s hard to imagine a ready list of drug allergies garnering the excitement of finding a new sushi restaurant on your iPhone.) Here’s what’s reportedly being planned, according to the Gray Lady:

A prototype of Google Health, which the company has shown to health professionals and advisers, makes the consumer focus clear. The welcome page reads, “At Google, we feel patients should be in charge of their health information, and they should be able to grant their health care providers, family members, or whomever they choose, access to this information. Google Health was developed to meet this need.”

A presentation of screen images from the prototype — which two people who received it showed to a reporter — then has 17 other Web pages including a “health profile” for medications, conditions and allergies; a personalized “health guide” for suggested treatments, drug interactions and diet and exercise regimens; pages for receiving reminder messages to get prescription refills or visit a doctor; and directories of nearby doctors.

Google executives would not comment on the prototype, other than to say the company plans to experiment and see what people want. “We’ll make mistakes and it will be a long-range march,” said Adam Bosworth, a vice president of engineering and leader of the health team. “But it’s also true that some of what we’re doing is expensive, and for Google it’s not.”

Bosworth deserves credit for remaining humble, but the question we have is—will all this really improve health care? The profile idea and the prompts sound like window-dressing (web-dressing?). Sure, some people might benefit from an email reminding them to make a follow up appointment, but that doesn’t mean they’ll follow through. As for the personalized health guide, the information is out there and often collected by Web sites like WebMD. How does a simple aggregation of data help? (And when does the notion that Google—which bases its Gmail ads on the content of the messages—will have complete health profile on record stop feeling weird? The assurances that this data will remain completely confidential don’t do it for me.)

Note: Google Blogoscoped, which tracks the behemoth, has previews of Google Health Screen Shots here. Lots of sizzle but not seeing the steak.

Microsoft’s efforts, in contrast, sound a little more grounded—at least initially. Again, from the NYT:

… “It will take grand scale to solve these problems like the data storage, software and networking needed to handle vast amounts of personal health and medical information,” said Steve Shihadeh, general manager of Microsoft’s health solutions group. “So there are not many companies that can do this.”

This year, Microsoft bought a start-up, Medstory, whose search software is tailored for health information, and last year bought a company that makes software for retrieving and displaying patient information in hospitals. Microsoft software is already used in hospitals, clinical laboratories and doctors’ offices, and, Mr. Shihadeh noted, the three most popular health record systems in doctors’ offices are built with Microsoft software and programming tools.

But then the talk veers off into discussion about creating consumer-oriented tools such as online offerings “as well as software to find, retrieve and store personal health information on personal computers, cellphones and other kinds of digital devices — perhaps even a wristwatch with wireless Internet links some day.”

A wristwatch? Perhaps this would work for Dick Tracy. Yes, the current process of sending faxes and letters to get a simple medical record transfer done is onerous. But do we need a wrist watch? Just let me download my records onto a thumb drive and bid me good day.

Yes, IN VIVO Blog has a difficult time seeing all of this having any real impact from these consumer-oriented efforts. They sound great, but will they really make a difference?

While Microsoft and Google bring some much needed buzz to health care’s out-moded record keeping, there are at least two other multi-nationals worth keeping an eye on in the race to digitize health care: Siemens AG and General Electric. Keep in mind that Siemens and GE also have major plays in healthcare IT and they develop the imaging and diagnostic tests that make up the bulk of a patient’s record. Who better to lead healthcare’s digital revolution than the companies that generate the actual data patients—and more importantly, doctors—want tracked. (BTW, keep an eye out for an analysis of Siemens’ IVD approach in the upcoming Sept. issue of IN VIVO.)